This paper examines the opportunities and challenges facing Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) engaged in informal cross-border trade (ICBT) at three strategic border locations: Cyanika (Rwanda–Uganda), Mpondwe (DRC–Uganda), and Vvura (DRC–Uganda).
Methodology:
Using primary data from stakeholder consultations and secondary data from official trade statistics, we analyze trade flows, operating models, and the unique constraints confronting women traders, who constitute over 70% of the informal trading population.
Key findings on trade flows:
The study reveals that Mpondwe and Vvura collectively account for 33.2% of Uganda’s informal export revenue ($188.6 million in 2023), with fish, agricultural products, and manufactured goods dominating trade flows.
Progress and persistent challenges:
While the Simplified Trade Regime (STR) and One-Stop Border Posts (OSBPs) have improved formalisation rates, significant challenges persist, including customs compliance burdens, inadequate infrastructure, regulatory inconsistencies, and gender-based vulnerabilities.
Gravity model estimates:
Our empirical analysis employs a structural gravity model to estimate trade facilitation effects, demonstrating that behind-the-border costs reduce trade volumes by 23–35%.
Gender-disaggregated findings:
We find that women traders face disproportionate barriers, including sexual harassment, limited access to market information, and inadequate childcare facilities.
Policy recommendations:
The paper concludes with targeted policy recommendations for gender-responsive trade facilitation, including mobile testing laboratories, digital trade platforms, and strengthened cross-border trader associations.
JEL Classification: F14, F15, J16, L26, O17, O55
Keywords: Informal Cross-Border Trade, MSMEs, Gender, Trade Facilitation, East African Community, Gravity Model
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